产业特征、国际收支与金融危机深度
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| Title | Industry Characteristics, International Payments and Financial Crisis Deepness
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| 作者 | 韩立岩 谢飞 胡颖 |
| Author | Han Liyan, Xie Fei, Hu Ying |
| 作者单位 | 北京航空航天大学经济管理学院 中国舰船研究院 |
| Organization | School of Economics and Management, Beihang University |
| 作者Email | hanly@buaa.edu.cn,xfbuaa@163.com,huyinghyhy@163.com |
| 中文关键词 | 金融危机深度 经济结构 工业占比 国际收支平衡 外贸依存度 |
| Key Words | Financial Crisis Degree；Economic Structure；Industry Scale；Balance of International Payments；International Trade Dependence |
| 内容提要 | 针对2007-2008年金融风暴的现实，本文选取全球34个样本国家，根据这些国家在危机中的表现将其分为严重受损国家和轻度受损国家两类，使用Logit二元选择下的混合截面数据模型，分析工业增加值占比、经常项目下货物贸易净出口占比的绝对值和资本与金融帐户调整净值占比 这三个变量与各国遭受金融危机程度的关系，从产业特征和实体经济的角度来分析实体经济结构性特征是否对金融危机中的受损程度具有解释力。在严格的稳健性检验之下，实证结果表明：工业增加值占比与遭受金融危机程度显著负相关，而后两个变量与金融危机受损程度显著正相关。 |
| Abstract | Aimed at the financial storm of the year 2007-2008, this article chooses 34 countries around the world, and classifies them into two categories, seriously lost countries and slightly lost countries. We analyze the relationship between the degree to which a country got involved into financial crisis and the following three variables, which are industrial added value/GDP, net adjusted value of capital and finance account / GDP and absolute value of net exports of goods trade in current account / GDP by using logit binary choice pool data model. The empirical results show that the variable industrial added value /GDP is significantly negatively related to the financial crisis degree, whereas the other two variables are significantly positive related to financial crisis degree. |
| 文章编号 | WP6 |
| 登载时间 | 2010-10-18 |
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