贸易模式, 比较优势和生产率:中印东盟比较分析 阅读全文
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Title | Patterns of Trade, Comparative Advantage and Productivity in the ASEAN-China-India Region
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作者 | 余淼杰 |
Author | Yu Miaojie |
作者单位 | 北京大学国家发展研究院中国经济研究中心 |
Organization | CCER/NSD, Peking University |
作者Email | mjyu@ccer.edu.cn |
中文关键词 | 生产率 区域内部贸易 比较优势 双边贸易 |
Key Words | Productivity; Intra-region Trade; Comparative Advantage; Bilateral Trade |
内容提要 | 本文首先研究了中国、印度和东盟(ACI)的贸易模式和行业生产率。通过1998-2008年间高度细分的商品贸易数据库,发现ACI国家在这一时期经历了一个制造业生产率的显著增长。ACI国家的国际贸易和区域内贸易在上个十年经历了大幅度的增长。中国从印度的进口大部分是一般贸易,而中国从东盟的进口大部分是加工贸易。更深入的实证研究表明,在中印东盟区域内,更高生产率的出口国会出口更多的商品到世界各地。此外,资本丰富的出口国会出口更多资本密集型产品到世界各地。 |
Abstract | This paper first investigates the pattern of trade and industrial productivity in the ASEAN, China, and India (ACI). By using highly disaggregated COMTRADE data during 1998-2008, I find that the ACI countries exhibit significant productivity growth in manufacturing sectors. Both international trade and intra-region trade in the ACI countries increase dramatically in the last decade. The imports from India to China are mostly ordinary trade whereas those from ASEAN to China are mostly processing trade. A further intensive empirical research shows that an exporter in the ACI region with higher productivity would export more to the rest of the world. Moreover, a more capital-abundant exporter in the ACI region would export more capital-intensive products to the rest of the world. Finally, policy suggestions for each ACI country are delivered based on the calculated revealed comparative advantage (RCA) index by industry and by year. |
文章编号 | WP83 |
登载时间 | 2011-07-15 |
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