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公允价值会计与市场波动
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TitleFair Value Accounting and Market Volatility  
作者胡奕明 刘奕均  
AuthorYiming Hu and Yijun Liu  
作者单位上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院 
OrganizationShanghai Jiaotong University 
作者Emailhuym@sjtu.edu.cn 
中文关键词公允价值会计 价值相关性 波动性 金融危机 
Key WordsFair Value Accounting; Value-relevance, Volatility;Financial Crisis 
内容提要对于公允价值的应用是否会影响市场波动,从而加剧金融危机这一问题,我们对2007年实施新会计准则后的A股市场进行了实证研究。主要结论是:1)股价会对公允价值会计信息作出反应,在上涨市场中比在下跌市场中反应更强,在市场波动期比平稳期反应更强;2)公允价值会计信息对股价变动具有显著解释力,说明存在“资产价格循环”,且这种解释力在上涨市场中以及在市场波动期更强;3)公允价值与市场波动之间存在正相关关系,且这一关系主要存在于市场波动期。这意味着当市场出现长周期波动时,公允价值信息会加剧这种波动。尽管在市场疲软情况下,“盯市”会计会加大市场下行风险,但并不是金融危机的根本成因。另外,有两个新的研究问题值得关注:一是流动性缺失情况下公允价值如何确定,二是市场应如何将公允价值及其变动正确反映到资产价值上,即对公允价值如何正确“定价”。 
AbstractIn this paper, we investigate in the A share market after the new accounting principles have been executed since 2007 whether the fair value accounting increate the market volatility and lead to the financial crisis. Our findings are: 1) the stock prices do react to the fair value information, the fair value information are more explanatory for stock prices in up market than in down market, and more in unstable period than in stable period; 2) the fair value information are explanatory to the changes of the stock prices, which reflect the existence of the “the asset price circle”, and it’s more explanatory in up market than in down market, also more in unstable period than in stable period; 3) the fair value amounts are positively correlated with the market volatility, and this correlation is observed only in the unstable period. This finding reveals that the fair value information would enhance the volatility of the market in the unstable period. In the weak market, mark-to-market accounting increases the going-down risk, but it’s not the key cause for the financial crisis. In addition, two new issues would be much concerned. One is how to measure the fair value at illiquidity situations, the other is how to reflect the fair value in equity price properly.  
文章编号WP144 
登载时间2011-10-28 
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