企业产业锁定与产业行情随机冲击――中国民营制造业发展困境分析
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| Title | Enterprise Industry Lock-in and Shocks on the Industry Market
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| 作者 | 李元华 |
| Author | Li Yuanhua |
| 作者单位 | 温州大学商学院 |
| Organization | Business School,Wenzhou University |
| 作者Email | liyuanhua1218@163.com |
| 中文关键词 | 产业锁定 生产制造 随机冲击 |
| Key Words | Industry Lock-in, Production and Manufacture, Market Shocks |
| 内容提要 | 以地方技术见长发展起来的民营制造企业因适应性的局限经常陷于“产业锁定”桎梏，表现为企业在从事某一产品的生产、销售、经营方面产生惯性和超路径依赖，以至于产业结构、产品结构及相应的组织形式不能适应新的产业行情变化。本文通过模型指标设定考量与实证分析发现：（1）企业产业锁定受“生产刚性约束”、“技术依赖”与“营运成本沉淀”等多种因素制约，以至相当一部分民营制造企业很难突破或者不愿跨出所在行业和经营模式，从而按照既定规则行事产生风格超路径依赖的“产业锁定”；（2）产业锁定对企业遭受产业行情随机冲击的影响在0.005的水平是显著的，而随机冲击对企业产业锁定的影响通常不显著；（3）产业锁定值越大，企业产出Yi受随机冲击影响的概率也越大，所以民营制造企业产业锁定经营显现的问题是：产业代代坚持，行情年年有变，但坚持与固守的结果经常是随着冲击性波动和竞争加剧，生产利润越来越薄。 |
| Abstract | The Private manufacturing enterprises are often limited to industry locked-in characterized by production, sales and management inertia and path dependence of a product and confined to familiar and previous business model. As a result, the existing industrial structure, product structure and the corresponding organization can't adapt to the changing industry market. Through the research we can come to the conclusion that: (1) the enterprise industry lock-in are often restricted by rigid production restraint technology dependence and operating costs precipitation and so on, thus a considerable part of private manufacturing enterprises are hard to break through the existing industry lock-in. (2) the effects of industry lock-in on random market shocks are significant at the level0.005,whereas the effects of the random market shocks on industry lock-in are usually inapparent. (3) the larger the value of industry lock-in is the greater the probability of enterprise output Yi affected by the random market shocks So the problems the private manufacturing enterprises facing are: the private manufacturing enterprises are less and less profitable with industry lock-in and increasing intense competition. |
| 文章编号 | WP820 |
| 登载时间 | 2015-02-13 |
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