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劳动力跨方言流动的模式
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TitleThe Pattern of Labor’s Cross-Dialects Migration  
作者刘毓芸 徐现祥 肖泽凯  
AuthorLiu Yuyun, Xu Xianxiang and Xiao Zekai  
作者单位中山大学岭南学院 
OrganizationLingnan College, Sun Yat-sen University 
作者Emailsoulsun_l@163.com;lnsxuxx@mail.sysu.edu.cn;中山大学岭南学院 
中文关键词劳动力流动 方言距离 身份认同;技能互补 
Key WordsMigration; Chinese Dialectal Distance; Identification; Skill Complementary 
内容提要围绕着劳动力流动大多发生在同一方言大区内部的现象,本文考察方言距离对劳动力流动的影响。在理论上,本文证明了,当方言具有认同和互补两种效应时,在一定条件下,方言距离呈现出先促进、后抑制劳动力流动的“倒U型”模式。在实证上,本文基于《汉语方言大词典》和《中国语言地图集》中的方言分区,计算了全国278个地级市间的方言距离,并与“2012年中国劳动力动态调查数据”相匹配,构建了一个劳动力跨方言流动的微观数据库。基于这个微观数据库,本文验证了理论模型的预测。具体而言,在同一方言大区内部,方言距离每增大1个层级,劳动力跨市流动的概率会提高30%以上;不同方言大区之间,方言距离每增大1个层级,该概率会降低3%左右;最优的方言距离是跨方言区、但不跨方言大区。本文的发现是稳健的,考察了经济因素、婚姻迁入、社会关系、户籍限制、地理因素和普通话等因素后,劳动力跨方言流动的“倒U型”模式依然存在。 
AbstractDue to the phenomenon that labor migration mostly happened within the same dialectal region, this paper tries to explore for the impact of dialectal distance on labors’ migration. Theoretically, we have proved that dialectal distance, with both identification effect and complementary effect, will first promote then prevent labors’ migration, under certain conditions. Empirically, based on Chinese Dialect Family Tree from ‘Dictionary of Chinese Dialect’ and ‘Language Atlas of China’, we have constructed pairwise dialectal distances of 278 prefecture, and a micro dataset of labors’ cross-dialect migration, by matching dialectal distances with ‘China Labor-force Dynamic Survey’(2012). With the micro dataset, we have verified our theoretical implications. Specifically, within the same dialectal region, when the cultural difference raise by one level, the probability of cross-prefecture migration will rise by 30%; however, across different dialectal regions, this probability will fall by 3%; and the optimal dialectal distance is across different dialectal areas but within the same dialectal region. Our finding is robust, and when we have controlled other factors such as economic factors, marriage and family, social network, Hukou system, geographic factors, and Mandarin, the inversed-“U”-shaped pattern still exists. 
文章编号WP928 
登载时间2015-09-30 
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